We study the problem of stopping a Brownian bridge X in order to maximise the expected value of an exponential gain function. The problem was posed by Ernst and Shepp (2015), and was motivated by bond selling with non-negative prices. Due to the non-linear structure of the exponential gain, we cannot rely on methods used in the literature to find closed-form solutions to other problems involving the Brownian bridge. Instead, we must deal directly with a stopping problem for a time-inhomogeneous diffusion. We develop techniques based on pathwise properties of the Brownian bridge and martingale methods of optimal stopping theory, which allow us to find the optimal stopping rule and to show the regularity of the value function.

Optimal stopping for the exponential of a Brownian bridge

De Angelis T.
;
Milazzo A.
2020-01-01

Abstract

We study the problem of stopping a Brownian bridge X in order to maximise the expected value of an exponential gain function. The problem was posed by Ernst and Shepp (2015), and was motivated by bond selling with non-negative prices. Due to the non-linear structure of the exponential gain, we cannot rely on methods used in the literature to find closed-form solutions to other problems involving the Brownian bridge. Instead, we must deal directly with a stopping problem for a time-inhomogeneous diffusion. We develop techniques based on pathwise properties of the Brownian bridge and martingale methods of optimal stopping theory, which allow us to find the optimal stopping rule and to show the regularity of the value function.
2020
57
1
361
384
https://arxiv.org/abs/1904.00075
https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/journal-of-applied-probability/article/optimal-stopping-for-the-exponential-of-a-brownian-bridge/716F8E4B9DA1E34C6812B451A12021DE
optimal stopping; Brownian bridge; free boundary problems; regularity of value function; continuous boundary; bond; stock selling
De Angelis T.; Milazzo A.
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/2318/1921512
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