Inspired by a growing body of empirical work, this paper models a non-linear labor income process allowing for a personal disaster, such as long-term unemployment or disability, during working years. Such a disaster entails an uncertain but potentially large permanent shock to earnings. Personal disaster risk allows to match moderate risk-taking of young investors and a flat investment profile in age, observed in the United States, when the calibration of both the disaster probability and the expected permanent loss in the disaster state is conservative.
Life-cycle risk-taking with personal disaster risk
Fabio C. Bagliano
;Carolina Fugazza;Giovanna Nicodano
In corso di stampa
Abstract
Inspired by a growing body of empirical work, this paper models a non-linear labor income process allowing for a personal disaster, such as long-term unemployment or disability, during working years. Such a disaster entails an uncertain but potentially large permanent shock to earnings. Personal disaster risk allows to match moderate risk-taking of young investors and a flat investment profile in age, observed in the United States, when the calibration of both the disaster probability and the expected permanent loss in the disaster state is conservative.File in questo prodotto:
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BFN_IREF_revised draft_2023.pdf
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Descrizione: Revised draft
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