Prognostic role of circulating cytokines and inflammation indexes for avelumab maintenance in metastatic urothelial carcinoma

Background Avelumab maintenance after first-line platinum-based chemotherapy represents a cornerstone for the treatment of metastatic urothelial carcinoma (mUC). However, identifying prognostic biomarkers is paramount for optimizing patients' benefits while minimizing toxicity. Cytokines represent circulating mediators of the complex interaction between cancer, the immune system, and inflammation. Inflammation, a hallmark of cancer, can be expressed by circulating factors. In different tumor subtypes, peripheral blood biomarkers, such as circulating cytokines, and systemic inflammatory indexes, have been addressed as potential prognostic factors for immune checkpoint inhibitors. However, their role in mUC still needs to be determined.Methods Between February 2021 and April 2023, we prospectively collected plasma cytokines and inflammation indexes in 28 patients with mUC before starting avelumab as first-line maintenance. The primary endpoint was the relationship between baseline cytokines and inflammatory indexes with the clinical benefit (CB), defined as the number of Responders. Secondary endpoints included the correlation of baseline cytokines and inflammatory indexes with progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), and the number and grade of immune-related adverse events.Results High pre-treatment levels of interferon (IFN)-gamma and interleukin (IL)-2, and low levels of IL-6, IL-8, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR), and systemic-inflammation index (SII) were associated with clinical benefit and longer survival. In the multivariate analysis, low IL-8, NLR, and SII levels maintained a positive prognostic value for OS.Conclusion Our data suggest that, in mUC patients receiving avelumab, pre-treatment levels of plasma cytokines and inflammatory indexes may serve as potential prognostic biomarkers for response and efficacy. In particular, patients with signs of pre-therapeutic inflammation showed a significantly lower response and survival to avelumab. On the contrary, low systemic inflammation and high levels of cytokines characterized responders and longer survivors.