Modeling the Effect of Temperature on the Severity of Blueberry Stem Blight and Dieback with a Focus on Neofusicoccum parvum and Cultivar Susceptibility

Stem blight and dieback rank among the most relevant diseases affecting blueberry production worldwide. In Northern Italy, Neofusicoccum parvum, Diaporthe rudis, Cadophora luteo-olivacea and Peroneutypa scoparia have been reported to cause stem blight and dieback in blueberry. Considering that the incidence and severity of these diseases are on the rise in Northern Italy, two of the main aims of the present study were a—to compare the in vitro growth rate of the four fungi at different temperatures and b—to assess the aggressiveness of the same fungi on four commercial blueberry cultivars. Neofusicoccum parvum had the fastest growth rate and was the most aggressive pathogen. A possible effect of temperature on host colonization by N. parvum and disease expression was postulated and tested as a third aim. In planta trials were performed to model and predict the influence of temperature on the severity of blueberry stem blight and dieback caused by N. parvum. Increasing temperatures boosted the aggressiveness of the pathogen, causing higher disease severity and host mortality. Our findings suggest that temperature plays a relevant role in the severity of blueberry stem blight and dieback caused by N. parvum. Given the predictions of a warmer climate, this disease may become increasingly more significant and should be actively managed.