Incidence and predictors of major arrhythmic events after myocarditis: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Aims: Long-term arrhythmic risk after myocarditis remains uncertain, and optimal management is debated. We aimed to assess the incidence and predictors of major arrhythmic events (MAEs) after myocarditis. Methods and results: We conducted a systematic literature review and meta-analysis including 19 observational studies on myocarditis and MAEs during follow-up. Major arrhythmic events were defined as a composite of sudden cardiac death (SCD), ventricular fibrillation (VF), aborted cardiac arrest (ACA), sustained ventricular tachycardia (sVT), and appropriate implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) or wearable-cardioverter defibrillator (WCD) intervention. The primary outcome was the incidence of MAEs after discharge; secondary outcomes included occurrence of each component of MAEs and the composite of all-cause mortality or heart transplantation (HTx). Three thousand nine hundred and fifty-four patients (71% male, 67% acute, 88% complicated myocarditis) were included. At presentation, 15% had high-grade atrioventricular block (AVB), 31% heart failure, 38% MAEs. At a median follow-up of 24 months (interquartile range 19-57), 28% suffered MAEs, with a median time of presentation of 12 months. The incidence of sVT, ACA/VF, appropriate ICD/WCD intervention, and SCD were 22%, 6%, 20%, and 1%, respectively. The combined rate of all-cause mortality/HTx was 11%. At meta-regression analysis, high-grade AVB, MAEs at presentation, and fulminant myocarditis were associated with higher risk of MAEs during follow-up, while male gender resulted as a protective factor. Conclusion: The incidence of MAEs after a complicated acute myocarditis can be high over time. Further prospective studies are needed to better stratify high-risk patients, identify those with an underlying arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy, and guide antiarrhythmic strategies.