A simulation based approach for rhe evaluation of outcome driven innovation models

The evaluation of the opportunity of investments on complex production processes is a critical factor in order to enable the balance of risks and potential benefits. There is no out-ofthe-box tool that can solve this problem: only the experienceof the responsible expert and his knowledgeability of the process can help. Outcome Driven Innovation is an evaluation technique that can support decisions, based on a structured approach to process analysis and on the availability of domain experts: anyway, the need for experts can make the evaluation itself very expensive. In this paper a simulative approach is used to provide an a priori characterization of the conditions that can suggest the opportunity of adopting Outcome Driven Innovation for a process.