We show that the decision to participate in the stock market depends on the ability of equities to hedge the individual permanent earnings shocks, consistent with implications of life-cycle mod-els. Those households who refrain from stock investing display positive correlation between their own permanent income innovations and market returns. These results owe to a two-step empirical strategy. First, a minimum distance estimation disentangles the aggregate from the idiosyncratic permanent of labor income risks. The second step reconstructs the individual life-cycle dynam-ics of persistent shocks through a Kalman filter applied to the estimated labor income process. We are thus able to obtain the full cross-sectional distribution of individual correlations between permanent shock and market returns.

Hedging Labor income Risk over the Life-Cycle

Fabio C. Bagliano;CORVINO, RAFFAELE;Carolina Fugazza;Giovanna Nicodano
2018-01-01

Abstract

We show that the decision to participate in the stock market depends on the ability of equities to hedge the individual permanent earnings shocks, consistent with implications of life-cycle mod-els. Those households who refrain from stock investing display positive correlation between their own permanent income innovations and market returns. These results owe to a two-step empirical strategy. First, a minimum distance estimation disentangles the aggregate from the idiosyncratic permanent of labor income risks. The second step reconstructs the individual life-cycle dynam-ics of persistent shocks through a Kalman filter applied to the estimated labor income process. We are thus able to obtain the full cross-sectional distribution of individual correlations between permanent shock and market returns.
2018
Quaderni del Dipartimento di Scienze Economico-Sociali e Matematico-Statistiche, Università di Torino
58
1
44
https://ideas.repec.org/p/tur/wpapnw/058.html
Stock market participation,Labor income-risk return correlation, permanent income shocks, Kalman filter
Fabio C. Bagliano, Raffaele Corvino, Carolina Fugazza, Giovanna Nicodano
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/2318/1687900
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