Modeling of hospital’s Emergency Departments (ED) is vital for optimisation of health services offered to patients that shows up at an ED requiring treatments with different level of emergency. In this paper we present a modeling study whose contribution is twofold: first, based on a dataset relative to the ED of an Italian hospital, we derive different kinds of Markovian models capable to reproduce, at different extents, the statistical character of dataset arrivals; second, we validate the derived arrivals model by interfacing it with a Petri net model of the services an ED patient undergoes. The empirical assessment of a few key performance indicators allowed us to validate some of the derived arrival process model, thus confirming that they can be used for predicting the performance of an ED.

Petri Nets Validation of Markovian Models of Emergency Department Arrivals

Duma D.;Horvath A.;Aringhieri R.
2020-01-01

Abstract

Modeling of hospital’s Emergency Departments (ED) is vital for optimisation of health services offered to patients that shows up at an ED requiring treatments with different level of emergency. In this paper we present a modeling study whose contribution is twofold: first, based on a dataset relative to the ED of an Italian hospital, we derive different kinds of Markovian models capable to reproduce, at different extents, the statistical character of dataset arrivals; second, we validate the derived arrivals model by interfacing it with a Petri net model of the services an ED patient undergoes. The empirical assessment of a few key performance indicators allowed us to validate some of the derived arrival process model, thus confirming that they can be used for predicting the performance of an ED.
2020
41st International Conference on Application and Theory of Petri Nets and Concurrency, PETRI NETS 2020
fra
2020
Lecture Notes in Computer Science (including subseries Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence and Lecture Notes in Bioinformatics)
Springer
12152
219
238
978-3-030-51830-1
978-3-030-51831-8
https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-030-51831-8_11
https://rdcu.be/cdqKl
ED arrival process; Markovian models; Stochastic petri nets
Ballarini P.; Duma D.; Horvath A.; Aringhieri R.
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/2318/1766377
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