Recent seismicity of Mount Etna: implications for flank instability

Active volcanoes are revealed to be dynamically evolving structures, the growth and development of which are characteristically punctuated by episodes of instability and subsequent structural failure. Edifice instability typically occurs in response to one or more of a range of agencies, including magma emplacement, the overloading or oversteepening of slopes, and peripheral erosion. Similarly, structural failure of a destabilized volcano may occur in response to a number of triggers of which seismogenic (e.g tectonic or volcanic earthquakes) or magmagenic (e.g. pore-pressure changes due to magma intrusion) are common. Edifice failure and consequent debris avalanche formation appears to occur, on average, at least four times a century, and similar behaviour is now known to have occurred at volcanoes on Mars and Venus. Realization of the potential scale of structural failures and associated eruptive activity has major implications for the development of monitoring and hazard mitigation strategies at susceptible volcanoes, which must now address the possibility of future collapse events which may be ten times greater than that which occurred at Mount St Helens in 1980.