We show that the decision to participate in the stock market depends on the ability of equities to hedge the individual permanent earnings shocks, consistent with implications of life-cycle models. Those households who refrain from stock investing display positive correlation between their own permanent income innovations and market returns. These results owe to a two-step empirical strategy. First, a minimum distance estimation disentangles the aggregate from the idiosyncratic permanent component of labor income risks. The second step reconstructs the individual life-cycle dynamics of persistent shocks through a Kalman filter applied to the estimated labor income process. We are thus able to obtain the full cross-sectional distribution of individual correlations between permanent shocks and market returns.

Hedging Labor Income Risk

Fabio Bagliano;Raffaele Corvino
;
Carolina Fugazza;Giovanna Nicodano
2019-01-01

Abstract

We show that the decision to participate in the stock market depends on the ability of equities to hedge the individual permanent earnings shocks, consistent with implications of life-cycle models. Those households who refrain from stock investing display positive correlation between their own permanent income innovations and market returns. These results owe to a two-step empirical strategy. First, a minimum distance estimation disentangles the aggregate from the idiosyncratic permanent component of labor income risks. The second step reconstructs the individual life-cycle dynamics of persistent shocks through a Kalman filter applied to the estimated labor income process. We are thus able to obtain the full cross-sectional distribution of individual correlations between permanent shocks and market returns.
2019
Proceedings of Paris December 2019 Finance Meeting EUROFIDAI - ESSEC
Paris
12/2019
Proceedings of Paris December 2019 Finanance Meeting EUROFIDAI-ESSEC
1
32
https://ssrn.com/abstract=3475446 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3475446
Stock market participation, Labor income-risk return correlation, Permanent income shocks, Kalman filter
Fabio Bagliano, Raffaele Corvino, Carolina Fugazza, Giovanna Nicodano
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/2318/1829325
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